Mexico vs Jamaica FC: National Football Teams: Complete Head-to-Head Stats, Analysis & Predictions
When two of CONCACAF’s most exciting teams meet, fans are promised fireworks. El Tri and the Reggae Boyz have had a rivalry through the years, with each game containing its share of drama. In the following 650-word analysis, we’ll dissect every vital angle to this showdown, including historical dominance, solid or inconsistent form entering, tactical battles, and what to expect in their next meeting.
Past Head-to-Head Matches
Mexico’s footballing history means that they will start as favourites on paper, but Jamaica have closed the gap, and this fixture certainly won’t be a walk in the park. The numbers paint a fascinating tale:
Overall Matches: 27 (through first meeting in 1963)
Victories by Mexico: 18 (winning 66.7% of all matches)
Jamaica Wins: 3 (11.1%)
Draws: 6 (22.2%)
Goals For: MEX 58 – 16 JAM
The most lopsided victory was 8-0 In a 1993 CONCACAF Gold Cup match that Mexico won. “But the last few games have been very close, and when Jamaica beat Mexico 1-0 in the semifinal of the 2017 Gold Cup, it was a milestone in Caribbean football.
Last 5 Meetings Breakdown
2023 CONCACAF Nations League: Mexico 2-1 Jamaica 2023 pointed Final of the CONCACAF Nations League from the Asteca match, a match in which Trench Town, Jamaica A ‘ship’s boy’ by Joe Castle already teams up to conventional cliche endorse of the reason to 2023-2033 for Men’s Agent and his Benophobia try to separate youth, devel and where depreciative of 1-0, he continued the same Man behind with a top shot on top five leagues.
Goals: Vega, Sánchez (Mexico); Nicholson (Jamaica)
Key Moment: Jamaica held the lead until the 70th minute, when Mexico took it back.
2022 World Cup Qualifier: Jamaica 1-2 Mexico Jamaica’s Ricketts was helped off the field while blood poured from him, and there was no red card.
A late winner by Henry Martín was not enough for América
2021 Gold Cup Mexico vs. Jamaica Semifinal Result: Mexico 3-0 Jamaica
Funes Mori, Pineda, Alvarado on target in Mexico rout
2019 Gold Cup: Mexico 3-1 Jamaica. A strong final 10 minutes helped Mexico pull away for a win against a persistent Jamaica.
Jiménez, Álvarez and Antuna among the scorers
2017 Gold Cup: Jamaica 1-0 Mexico
Once and never again: the distinctive ‘natch‘ And Lowe nodded in a copy of his near post to put Jamaica ahead in the 88th minute with just about two minutes remaining.
Form Guide (2023-2024) Season so far
Mexico’s Recent Results:
✓ 2-0 vs Ghana (Friendly)
✓ 3-1 vs Honduras (Gold Cup)
✗ 0-2 vs USA (Nations League)
✓ 1-0 vs Jamaica (WC Qualifier)
✓ 4-0 vs Australia (Friendly)
Jamaica’s Recent Results:
✓ 1-0 vs Canada (Friendly)
✗ 0-3 vs USA (Gold Cup)
✓ 2-1 vs. Haiti (Nations League)
✗ 0-1 vs Mexico (WC Qualifier)
✓ 2-2 vs Qatar (Friendly)
Tactics Recap and Playing Style
The formation generally employed by Mexico is 4-3-3:
Attacking on possession (average 58% possession)
Ease of movement through wingers
Set-piece effectiveness (scored eight goals from corners last season)
Jamaica pushes forward, mustering a more aggressive 5-4-1 with:
Compact defensive blocks
Lightning counterattacks
Set-piece aerial threats
Key Players Comparison
Mexico’s Danger Men:
Santiago Giménez (Feyenoord) – 15/2023
Hirving Lozano (PSV) – 30 goals for his country
Edson Álvarez (West Ham) - Defensive rock
Jamaica’s Threat:
Leon Bailey (Aston Villa) – 8 EPL goals/assists
Michail Antonio (West Ham) – Strong forward, evident bites your legs-type footballer, former Palace, 40ish goal.
Bobby Decordova-Reid (Fulham) – Creative influence
Statistical Deep Dive
Mexico has a 2.1 average per game against Jamaica
Jamaica has three clean sheets in the last 10 meetings
In 70% of games, 2+ goals are scored
Mexico’s 78% of home matches against Jamaica’s win percentage
What to Expect Next Match
According to our prediction model:
62% probability of Mexico winning
22% chance of a draw
16% probability Jamaica wins
Most probable result: 2-1 Mexico
Betting Insights (Odds Approx.)
Mexico Win: 1.75
Draw: 3.50
Jamaica Win: 5.00
Both Teams to Score: 1.90
Conclusion: Growing in Stature Rivalry
Even if Mexico is still the regional superpower, Jamaica has many more players competing in European football, and the gap has closed dramatically. The days of Mexico’s one-way traffic are over; the Reggae Boyz have shown that they can compete at the highest level in CONCACAF. Their next meeting will add another fascinating chapter to this budding rivalry.
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Mexico vs Jamaica: Head-to-head stats, tactical analysis & possible lineups. Find a timeline of how this CONCACAF rivalry has transformed over time.”
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